Archive for November, 2009

Life the Dream

Another lovely thunder storm… I was in the middle of laying down a mix when the electricity dropped for a moment, but my UPS saved the work.

Yesterday evening I worked on Up Close for a while and today I got the first song into enough shape to call Jon and ask for some bass… Been listening to the track over and over. Catchy yet sophisticated. Slamming filigree… Jon will come over on Thursday to lay down some Lakland.

I remembered this story today, but had forgotten the exact wording. Google found a quote for me:
Once upon a time I, Chuang Tzu, dreamt I was a butterfly, fluttering hither and thither, to all intents and purposes a butterfly. I was conscious only of following my fancies as a butterfly,Replica Chanel, and was unconscious of my individuality as a man. Suddenly, I awoke, and there I lay, myself again. Now I do not know whether I was then a man dreaming I was a butterfly, or whether I am now a butterfly dreaming that I am now a man.

I would love to share these songs with you as they are developing, but since many of you still seem to be attached to CDs I can’t… Why, you ask? Because the stores want fresh and new product and they don’t like it if individual songs have already been released on the net. So, as long as you and many other people still want CDs, I will have to comply to a certain extent with the demands of stores. Wake me up when everybody is ready for my future – where you have a choice: you can wait for the album or you can download tracks as they are finished… (or even as these tracks are taking shape, changing shape, growing up…)

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Helmets

Helmets – for whom? Cyclists or Motorists?
A few days a go we ran a post about a Dutch mother transporting her kids on a bicycle. As anticipated, we had a flurry of comments, wondering why the riders weren???t wearing helmets. This question raises many others that are rarely asked. Like why don???t motorist rides buses, instead of driving cars? Because buses are 25 times less likely to cause a motor vehicle death than car. And if in 2004, there were 37,142 driver/occupant US road fatalities, compared to 725 pedacyclist deaths, why it is that cyclists should wear helmets and not motorists? (and it can’t be because there are less bicycles out there, ???coz we already know that bike sales exceed cars.)
(Via Treehugger)

I sure hope my son doesn’,Replica Purses;t find this entry if I make him wear a helmet…

I can’t find the link right now, but I read somewhere that not wearing a helmet in a car is just as un-safe as not wearing one on a motorcycle. I never wore a helmet on my Harley unless I drove on the Interstate highway. I never wore a helmet on my bicycle, period. Well, no that’s not true: I tried wearing a helmet and hated it. Maybe it’s just what one is used to, but I survived 3 years of bicycle-messengering by being able to hear what was happening behind me.

I have heard, however, of a guy in Santa Fe who wore a helmet inside his car.

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Sunday

Sunday Morning: More shots are fired. There goes another one,Replica Chanel, followed immediately by a church bell and a chain saw. Symphony of sounds. We picked up a friend at Pisa airport in the late afternoon and had dinner at La Brilla again.

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Clearwater

That was a fun show tonight. The hall sounded fantastic and everybody played wonderful. Instead of going into Davo’,Chanel Handbags;s percussion solo in Duende del Amor full spead, we built it up slowly – barely playing anything during the first few bars. Davo, Jon and I can do that well – hinting at the rhythm… the other day the end section of La Luna was super funky, yet really sparse… Anyway, I had a blast tonight. The guitar sounds great – I have returned to my 2002 DeVoe Negra for this tour. It has aged so beautifully. It handles the soft playing for the Pavane just as well as anything that’s hard and fast.

Technorati Tags:
ottmar liebert, touring, music, tour, performance

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Arroyo neglect, government infighting jeopardize R

By VERA Files*

(First of two parts)

Neglect by President Arroyo and squabbles over turf and money have derailed government efforts to establish the country’s new archipelagic baseline, and may jeopardize the Philippines’ claim over resource-rich Spratlys that fall within its extended continental shelf.

With a year left before the May 13, 2009 deadline for filing its claim for an extended continental shelf under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), the Philippines is nowhere near completing the studies, surveys and report required to bolster the country’s claim over its extended territory.

The UNCLOS, which the Philippines ratified 24 years ago, requires coastal states to declare their extended continental shelf, which is the underwater extension of the land.

In Congress, lawmakers are debating a redefined archipelagic baseline bill. Although there is no deadline to the filing of a country’s archipelagic baseline with the UN, it is, however, going to be the basis for measuring all maritime regimes or zones: territorial sea (12 nautical miles from the baseline), contiguous zone (24 nm), economic exclusive zone (200 nm), continental shelf (200 nm) and extended continental shelf (350 nm).

The drafting of the country’s claim under the UNCLOS is a tale of infighting among agencies wanting to take the lead and subsequently controlling the billions of pesos of government fund for that undertaking, including a $250,000 grant from the Norwegian government.

It is also a story of President Arroyo’s failure to give importance to the complicated tasks involved (such as marine hydrographic, gravity and magnetic surveys and studies) to come up with data required in drafting territorial baseline despite the urgency of a May 2009 deadline.

In 2001, President Arroyo abolished the Cabinet Committee on the Treaty on the Law of the Sea, created under Ferdinand Marcos and maintained by the three succeeding presidents – Corazon Aquino, Fidel Ramos, and Joseph Estrada. Arroyo replaced it with the mid-level Maritime and Ocean Affairs Center (MOAC), which was just a unit in the Department of Foreign Affairs (DFA) then headed by Assistant Secretary Alberto Encomienda.

It was only in March 2007, after six years, that Arroyo restored the issue as a Cabinet-level concern when she issued Executive Order 612 creating the Commission on Maritime and Ocean Affairs (CMOA) under the Office of the President. The CMOA is to be chaired by the executive secretary with the justice secretary and foreign affairs secretary as vice chairs.

The initial members were the departments of national defense, of environment and natural resources, of budget and management, of transportation and communications, of tourism, of trade and industry, the National Security Council, Bureau of Fisheries and Aquatic Resources, National Mapping and Resources Information Authority (NAMRIA), and the Philippine Coast Guard.

Arroyo designated the Department of Foreign Affairs as the lead agency and secretariat of the CMOA. She also committed a major oversight: she excluded from the EO creating CMOA the Department of Energy, which had been involved in doing scientific studies on the country’s continental shelf with other agencies.

It took nine months for Arroyo to correct the lapse. On Dec. 17, 2007, she issued EO 612-A including DOE in the CMOA “in order (for it) to be able to fully contribute its knowledge and expertise” in the preparation of the country’s claim for extended continental shelf.

Outside the Palace, however, there were other initiatives toward complying with the UN requirement. In 2001, the University of the Philippines, through its National Institute of Geological Sciences and the UP Law Center’s Institute of International Legal Studies, undertook a project, “Delineation of the Outer Limits of the Philippine Continental Shelf,” with the DOE, NAMRIA and the Mines and Geosciences Bureau.

UP law professor Harry Roque, an international law expert, recalled the confusion on who was to take the lead in this project. Foreign affairs officials wanted the DFA to lead because it was in charge of submitting the claim to the UN. DENR said they should take the lead because the project involves natural resources and NAMRIA is its line agency. The NSC also got into the picture, citing security considerations.

In the end, the project proposed an executive order creating an interagency national committee with the president or vice president as chair and the DFA and DENR as vice chairs. When the UP-led project ended months later, Arroyo had not created any such committee.

In the case of MOAC, interagency coordination was saddled by its not being Cabinet level; thus, no policy decisions could be made. To be fair, Encomienda presented updates on the project before the Cabinet cluster on security attended by Arroyo.There were also personality differences among MOAC members. Some did not regard highly the entry of a retired police general, Dionisio Ventura, as head of NAMRIA, while others resented what they said was Encomienda’s “soliloquy” during meetings. Worse, some agencies refused to share data with MOAC.

Bureaucratic wrangling also marred baseline-related activities of the past administrations. During the presidency of Fidel V. Ramos, interagency power play derailed a project that would have strengthened the Philippine position to include a portion of the disputed Kalayaan Island Group (KIG) within the Philippine archipelagic baseline. The KIG is part of Spratlys.

Documents obtained by Vera Files showed that as early as 1994, Ramos ordered various agencies to work together on projects to redefine the country’s archipelagic baseline.

In mid-1994, then NAMRIA administrator Jose Solis (now congressman of Sorsogon) sought financial assistance from then Energy Secretary Delfin Lazaro for the building of lighthouses on three islets in the KIG: Nares Reef, Recto Bank or Marie Louise Reef, and Sea Horse Bank.

This was about the time that the Chinese were starting to occupy Mischief Reef in the KIG, which is only 135 nautical miles away from the Philippine baseline. Lazaro supported the lighthouses project and sought Ramos’ approval to draw funds from the DOE’s Special Account.

In a memo to Ramos, Lazaro cited possible international complications and risks of the lighthouse project: “While this project will be beneficial to the Philippines in terms of expanding available area not only for petroleum exploration but for other natural resources as well and that the lighthouses will also be important navigational aids, we wish to point out that actual construction of the lighthouse could provoke international protests from other countries (such as China and Vietnam) including possible physical stoppage of the work by their navies.”

Lazaro’s request for a go-signal got stalled in Malacanang. His successor, Francisco Viray, pursued the lighthouse project. In a memo to Ramos dated Dec. 12, 1994, Viray said: “Once established, these lighthouses will serve as legal basis in determining the new baseline. Other countries are doing the same things to fortify their territorial claims.”

Viray said the presence of lighthouses would reinforce the country’s claim over the Reed Bank. A lighthouse would have qualified Reed Bank, which is within the 200-mile exclusive economic zone, to be part of the archipelagic baseline. This would increase Philippine archipelagic waters within the baseline by 11,042 square nautical miles or 7,750,000 hectares.

Documents obtained by Vera Files showed that on Feb. 15, 1995, Ramos finally approved the release of P178-million for the mapping, survey, and construction of lighthouses in the KIG. He instructed the DOE to supply the funds, and the NAMRIA to supervise the design and construction of the lighthouse as well as the coordinates of the benchmarks identifying the territorial limits based on the 200-nautical mile EEZ. Formal public bidding was waived “in view of the urgency and confidentiality of the project.”

But soon after the funding was approved, Ramos himself revoked NAMRIA’s authority to oversee the project and transferred it to the Philippine Navy upon the recommendation of Defense Secretary Renato de Villa.

This led Solis to complain: “The NAMRIA has been religiously working for the immediate implementation of the KIG project. I would like to inform the Executive Secretary that when there were still no available funds for the project, it was the NAMRIA which did all the work to convince the funding agency to support the project. However, when the funding was approved and the authority was given to the NAMRIA, the Cabinet made a decision to transfer the project to the Philippine Navy.”

For one reason or another, the KIG lighthouses never got built-and the Philippines lost its chance to build them. In 2002, the Arroyo government signed the ASEAN-China Code of Conduct in the South China Sea that bans construction of new structures on uninhabited islands in the disputed areas. Brunei, China, Malaysia, Taiwan, Vietnam and the Philippines are claiming wholly or partially about 160 islands in the South China Sea.

A number of baseline and continental shelf legislations have been filed in both chambers of Congress. In the Senate, Sen. Leticia Shahani filed such a bill in 1993. A proposed baseline law authored by detained senator Antonio Trillanes IV is pending in the 14th Congress. The bill seeks to amend existing baseline to include Scarborough Shoal and treating the KIG as a regime of islands to conform to the criteria set by UNCLOS.

In the House, Cebu Rep. Antonio Cuenco’s bill has been returned to the committee level after reaching second reading last December. There were earlier initiatives in the House by then representative and now senator Francis Escudero and Rep. Gerry Salapuddin. “The project was stalled due to lack of available funds,” Salapuddin said back then.

Indeed, it is the government’s failure to provide the money that has slowed down projects needed to revised the baseline law and identify the extended continental shelf. After receiving an initial P50 million funding last year, CMOA is getting only P10 million in the 2008 budget.

It also took Malacanang five years to include the budget needed for the extended continental shelf project. A source privy to the project said NAMRIA had initially estimated that P10 billion would be needed for the scientific and technical surveys. Deputy Executive Secretary for Legislative Liaison Jake Lagonera balked, saying, “Masyado yatang malaki ‘yan (That’s too much).”

Indonesia had spent about $100 million for its project. But MOAC had said about P500 million would be enough for the extended continental shelf project.

The source said the Palace also found NAMRIA’S second proposal, totalling P2.9 billion, on the high side. It finally approved a P1.7 billion funding to be released over several years.

The Arroyo administration’s last-minute effort to meet the May 2009 deadline is reflected in NAMRIA’s P 1.2 billion budget for this year. For the first time, it is getting a P380 million allotment for the extended continental shelf delimitation project on top of the P547 million for its regular mapping and remote sensing activities.- By Ellen Tordesillas, Chit Estella, Luz Rimban, Booma Cruz, Yvonne Chua and Jennifer Santiago

VERA Files is put out by veteran journalists taking a deeper look into current issues. Vera is Latin for “true.

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Talo ang media, talo ang bayan

Hindi ako nagtataka na si Rep. Monico Puentebella ay nagsusulong ng bill na labag sa Constitution. Alam naman nating ang suporta ni Puentebella sa isang presidente peke.

Kung kaya mong ipikit ang mata mo sa pandaraya at pagnanakaw ni Gloria Arroyo, ibig sabihin noon hindi mo alam ang diperensya ng tama at ng mali.Kaya hindi ako nagtataka sa kanyang House Bill 3306 na nagu-utos sa media na kapag may sinulat laban sa kanila, ang sagot nila ay dapat ilalabas sa parehong lugar at parehong haba sa lob ng tatlong araw.

Kapag hindi ito ginawa ng diyaryo, reporter or columnist, may kaukulang parusa. Nandyan ang magbabayad ng P50,000 hanggang P200,000. Nandyan rin ang pagkakulong.

Ang pinagtataka ko ay si Sen. Aquilino Pimentel. Siya ang may-akda ng counterpart bill sa Senado.

Isa si Pimentel sa lumaban ng diktaturya ni Ferdinand Marcos. Pinaglaban niya ang kalayaan ng Filipino. Alam niya ang malaking papel ng media sa paglaban sa mga taong gustong alisin ang kalayaan ng Filipino upang manatili sila sa kapangyarihan. Alam niya ang malaking papel ng media para nagkaroon tayo ng maayos na pamahalaan.

Ipina-alam ko kay Pimentel ang aking pagkabahala. Sabi niya kung babasahin daw ang laman at ang intensyon ng kanyang bill, hindi raw dapat mabahala dahil may kasama raw yun na bill na ginagawang hindi krimen ang libel. Hindi makukulong ang sino man na mapatunayang guilty sa libel. Babayad lang. Meron daw probisyon doon hanggang matuto ang mga journalist na ayusin ang aming grupo.

Alam ko marami sa mga taga-media ay abusado. Ngunit may batas tayo para maparusahan ang lumalabag sa batas. Nandyan ang libel law. Maraming taga-media na ang naparusahan sa ilalim ng batas na yan. Kahit nga ang mga nanalo ay parang naparusahan na rin sa laki ng perwisyo at gastos sa abogado. At ang alam kong ilang kaso na nakulong ang reporter sa libel ay alam kung totoo ang report. Wala lang pera ang reporter pangtustus sa kaso.

Ang alam kung isang kaso na nadehado ng journalist ang isang negosyante ay ang kaso ng dating Foreign Affairs Secretary Roberto Romulo at ng yumao ng si Max Soliven. Binanatan na binanatan ni Soliven si Romulo dahil suspetsa niya sinisiraan siya kay Gloria Arroyo. Katulad ng gusto ni Romulo kasama siya sa lunch sa White House samantalang mga opisyal lang dapat.(Si dating Agriculture Secretary Cito Lorenzo ang inalis sa listahan para maipasok si Soliven.)

Sumulat si Romulo sa Philippine Star ng kanyang panig. Hindi nilabas ng Star ang buong artikulo. Gumawa lang sila ng maigisng news item. Nilabas yun ng buo ng ibang diyaryo. Linabas ko ng buo sa column ko.

Mahalaga ang papel ng media sa ating buhay. Kaya ang karapatan ng media para gawin ang kanilang tungkulin nana ipa-alam sa taumbayan ang katotohanan ay ginagarantiya ng Constitution.

Kapag pinusasan mo ang media, parang pinusasan mo na rin ang taumbayan.

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Message of Sen. Trillanes from his detention cell

Mga Kapwa Ko Pilipino:

Lubos akong nakikiisa sa inyo sa pakikipaglaban kontra sa Charter Change.

Alam nating lahat ang maitim na hangarin sa likod ng pagsusulong na ito – ang pananatili sa kapangyarihan habang buhay ni Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo at ang kanyang mga alipores.

Ang labang ito ay isa ring laban upang panagutin ang mga lider na tumalikod sa kanilang sinumpaang tungkulin na pangalagaan ang kapakanan ng mamamayang Pilipino; mga lider na pinagsamantalahan ang likas na yaman ng ating bayan; at mga lider na nagnakaw ng mga pangarap at pagasa ng ating mga kababayan. Kaya naman huwag nating bibitiwan ang pakikipaglabang ito hangang makamit natin ang tagumpay na ating minimithi.

Nasa ating kamay ang kapangyarihang tapusin ang lahat na paghihirap at katiwalian na laganap ngayon sa ating bansa. Nasa ating kamay ang kapangyarihang pihitin sa tamang landas ang ating minamahal na bayan.

MAGKAISA TAYO! TUMAYO TAYO! PANAHON NA!

ANTONIO F. TRILLANES IV

Senador

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Ombudsman junks Esperat case versus Bolante

Related article in Verafiles : Coverup, whitewash seen in Bolante case

by Johanna Camille Sisante
GMANews.TV

The Office of the Ombudsman on Friday junked the 2004 case filed by slain journalist Marlene Esperat against Agriculture Sec. Arthur Yap, former Agriculture undersecretary Jocelyn “Joc-Joc” Bolante, and other officials over the illegal use of public funds.

In a telephone interview with GMANews.TV, Anna Sanchez – media officer of Ombudsman Merceditas Gutierrez – confirmed the ruling on Esperat’s complaint but did not disclose any further details, saying a press conference will be held Monday regarding the resolution.

Lawyer Harry Roque, who has made it a personal crusade to find truth and justice in the fertilizer scam, said: “I hope that Merceditas Gutierrez can explain that to the children of Marlene Esperat who all witnessed her gruesome murder.

“Merceditas Gutierrez is a disgrace to her office and to this country.”

Roque warned that the dismissal of the Esperat case against Bolante, Yap and other officials “is apercursor of what will happen to the rest of the complaint.”

In an earlier report, radio dzBB’s Manny Vargas said the Ombudsman dismissed the case because the evidence presented failed to prove the guilt of the respondents.

The resolution was approved by Overall Deputy Ombudsman Orlando Casimiro and Assistant Ombudsman Jose de Jesus Jr upon the recommendation of Director Elvira Chua of the Ombudsman’s Preliminary Investigation, Administrative Adjudication and Monitoring Bureau, the radio report said.

To recall, Esperat, a former fact-finding investigator at the Department of Agriculture (DA) on July 27, 2004 filed before the Ombudsman charges of illegal use of public funds against Yap, Bolante, seven other senior officials of the department, and a fertilizer-firm owner for the distribution of some P432-million worth of fertilizers in 2003.

After blowing the whistle on an alleged fertilizer fund scam, Esperat was murdered in front of her 10-year-old son in their house in Tacurong City on March 24, 2005. Three of the several suspects in the killing of Esperat – Gerry Cabagay, Randy Grecia and Estanislao Bismanos – have been sentenced to life imprisonment for participating in her murder.

Meanwhile, Bolante, the alleged architect of the P728-million fertilizer fund scam, is currently under Senate custody at the St Luke’s Medical Center in Quezon City. He returned to the country last week after fleeing to the United States allegedly to escape the Senate investigation into the fertilizer controversy. – GMANews.TV

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Sharp increase in rice prices spark anxieties acro

From GMA News Online:

by Associated Press

Philippine activists warn about possible riots. Aid agencies across Asia worry how they will feed the hungry. Governments dig deeper every day to fund subsidies.

A sharp rise in the price of rice is hitting consumer pocketbooks and raising fears of public turmoil in the many parts of Asia where rice is a staple.

Part of a surge in global food costs, rice prices on world markets have jumped 50 percent in the past two months and at least doubled since 2004. Experts blame rising fuel and fertilizer expenses as well as crops curtailed by disease, pests and climate change. There are concerns prices could rise a further 40 percent in coming months.

The higher prices have already sparked protests in the Philippines, where a government official has asked the public to save leftover rice. In Cambodia, Prime Minister Hun Sen ordered a ban on rice exports Wednesday to curb rising prices at home. Vietnamese exporters and farmers are stockpiling rice in expectation of further price increases.

Prestoline Suyat of the May One Labor Movement, a left-wing workers group, warned that “hunger and poverty may eventually lead to riots.”

The neediest are hit hardest.

Rodolfo de Lima, a 42-year-old parking lot attendant in Manila, said “my family will go hungry” if prices continue to rise.

“If your family misses a meal, you really don’t know what you can do, but I won’t do anything bad,” said de Lima, whose right foot was amputated after he was shot during a 1985 gang war.

Others might not be so restrained, said Domingo Casarte, 41, a street vendor.

“There are people who are hotheaded,” he said. “When people get trapped, I can’t say what they will do.”

The US Department of Agriculture forecasts global rice stocks for 2007-08 at 72 million tons, the lowest since 1983-84 and about half of the peak in 2000-01.

The higher prices are stretching the budgets of aid agencies providing rice to North Korea and other countries, particularly with donations already falling.

Jack Dunford, head of a consortium in Thailand helping more than 140,000 refugees from military-ruled Myanmar, said soaring rice prices and a slumping US dollar are forcing cuts in already meager food aid.

“This rice price is just killing us,” he said. “This is a very vulnerable group of people under threat.”

China is among several countries in the region that subsidize rice prices, an increasingly expensive proposition.

Rice prices have almost doubled in Bangladesh in just a year, sparking resentment but no unrest yet. Repeated floods and a severe cyclone last year have cut production, forcing the government to increase imports.

In Vietnam, a major rice exporter, the crop has been hit by a virus called tungro and infestations of the brown planthopper insect.

Farmers there say they are not benefiting from the higher prices.

“The rice price has gone up 50 percent over the past three months, but I’m not making any more money because I have to pay double for fertilizer, insecticides and labor costs,” said Nguyen Thi Thu, 46, a farmer in Ha Tay province, just outside Hanoi.

Another farmer, Cao Thi Thuy, 37, in Nam Dinh province, 75 miles south of Hanoi, said exporters have actually been paying less for rice over the last week.

“If the world prices are going up still, then Vietnamese rice-exporting companies are benefiting, not us,” she said. “They tell us that now weather is better, and rice can grow more easily, so we should not expect higher prices.”

Philippine President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo, worried about anything that could spark a “people power” revolt against her, is assuring the public that rice won’t run out or skyrocket in price during the traditionally lean months of July to September.

This week, she arranged the purchase of up to 1.5 million tons from Vietnam. She also has ordered a crackdown on price manipulation, hoarding and profiteering on subsidized rice, and will hold a food summit April 4.

Things are so tight that Agriculture Secretary Arthur Yap has asked people not to throw away leftover rice and urged fast-food restaurants, which normally give customers a cup of rice with meals, to offer a half-cup option to cut waste.

The Philippines is facing “a perfect storm,” said Sen. Mar Roxas, president of the Liberal Party. Problems coping with rising rice prices are compounded by higher oil prices and a US economic downturn, which could reduce the money sent home to families by Filipinos working in the United States. Such remittances underpin the economy.

Philippine farmers say the country, which has become the world’s largest importer of rice after being an exporter in the early 1970s, has shot itself in the foot by developing some former rice paddies for housing and golf courses and planting more lucrative crops on others.

One Asian country, Japan, is encouraging cuts in rice production. Rice prices there have been falling in recent months as people eat less rice and more bread. – AP

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Cha-Cha train cranking up

Malaya report:

A separate resolution on the mode for Charter Change being circulated by Rep. Juan Miguel Arroyo (Lakas, Pampanga) was also signed by 150 congressmen, a source from the majority bloc said.

The resolution, which calls for the convening of a Constituent Assembly (Con-ass), is authored by Kampi president and Camarines Sur Rep. Luis Villafuerte, the source said.

Inquirer: Mikey leads cha-cha bid

This is what the five bishops warned about just three weeks ago: Gloria Arroyo will ram Charter Change down the people’s throats.

The report from the House of Representatives yesterday said House resolution 737 amending the economic provision of the Constitution has been signed by 163 congressmen. House Speaker Prospero Nograles, who authored the resolution, needs only 15 more signatures to meet the required 175 signatures, representing three-fourth of the House of Representatives to bring the resolution to the Committee on Constitutional Amendments, then to the plenary..

The Cha-Cha train is cranking up and is expected to leave the station in the coming days to a destination beyond 2010.

This is what Press Secretary Jesus Dureza had prayed for last Tuesday at the start of the cabinet meeting: that Gloria Arroyo “have forbearance, good health, and tolerance to lead this nation until 2010, and who knows, perhaps even beyond.”

It was not a slip of the tongue. It was an announcement.

It’s not a surprise. In fact, it’s a confirmation of what Jaro Archbishop Angel Lagdameo, president of the Catholic Bishops Conference of the Philippines and Lingayen Archbishop Oscar Cruz said last Oct. 29 in a press conference.

Cruz said, “When congress opens in Nov. 10, charter change will be an open, public and well funded move in the lower house. Whether it will triumph in the Senate is still debatable. But then I repeat, no more camouflage, no more double-talk, no more indirect insinuations, but Charter Change will be an honest-to-goodness agenda for Congress.”

Cruz further said, “that elections in 2010 is a big dream, in short elections in 2010 is a moral impossibility. “

Makati Mayor Jejomar Binay, president of the United Opposition, said time is running out for Arroyo and her allies. “By middle of 2009, people will be talking about the 2010 elections. If they (majority congressmen) are going to embark on a last-ditch effort for Charter change for Mrs. Arroyo’s benefit, they have to do it now.”

Binay said pro-Arroyo local executives and her House allies conducted public consultations on the issue of amending the Constitution while Congress was on a month-long recess. He said more than 100 pro-Arroyo congressmen are expected to report an “overwhelming consensus” in favor of Charter change.

“The Cha-Cha express is all set. And we should brace ourselves in the next few weeks for a final attempt to extend Mrs. Arroyo’s stay in Malaca?ang,” Binay warned.

Arroyo and her allies had attempted several times to amend the Constitution to shift from presidential to parliamentary system so Arroyo could remain in power beyond 2010. In December 2006, the House of Representatives led by then House Speaker Jose de Venecia railroaded a resolution calling for a Senate-less Constitutional Assembly. They had to back off after a few days when the Catholic church including the Iglesia ni Cristo, warned of massive protests against it.

Just two months ago, Arroyo tried to smuggle charter change in the Memorandum of Agreement on Ancestral Domain with the Moro Islamic Liberation Front. The Supreme Court declared the MOA unconstitutional.

Pro-chacha advocates are trying another tack with HR 737. Nograles is of the view that Congress can actually amend specific provisions of the Constitution without going through the usual process of charter change.

HR 737 calls for the amendment of Sections 2 and 3 of Article 12 of the Constitution “to allow the acquisition by foreign corporations and associations and the transfer or conveyance thereto, of alienable public and private lands.”

Nograles said that while a mere resolution, even if approved by the majority members of the House of Representatives, does not have the effect of law, it can still serve as the basis of raising a point of constitutional inquiry before the Supreme Court.

“If the Supreme Court says that Congress can enact laws that in effect will repeal specific provisions of the Constitution, then we might be able to avoid this protracted legal and constitutional wrangling on how we can attune the Constitution to the new challenges confronting our country,” he said.

It is feared that with several Supreme Court justices up for retirement next year, Arroyo would be able to pack the high court with justices who would declare as legal a resolution to amend the Constitution without participation of the Senate.

Binay said surveys after surveys have shown that the people are overwhelmingly against charter change that will allow Arroyo to stay in power beyond 2010.

“If Malaca?ang pushes through with Cha-Cha despite public opinion, this could well be the tipping point for the movement to remove an unpopular pretender to the presidency,” he warned.

It could be just what the country needed.

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